April 17th, 2022
Tonight we get another chance to go back to one of my favorite markets: 1st quarter props. DraftKings has had these off and on the books for most of the year and it’s such a great market because you can cash in 1 quarter and the lines feel a little off sometimes.
I’ll be going back to someone I’ve bet on a lot this year in Devin Booker. Booker has the 2nd highest average 1Q points with 9.3, just behind Luka. Usually DK does a pretty good job with setting lines, but I think these Booker lines are off. In his last 5 games, Book is averaging 13.2 points in the 1Q, with 10, 11, 12, 11 and 22(!!) with an average of 8.4 FGA. After seeing his first quarter game log again, I was surprised the line didn’t open at 9 at around -200. DK is offering 8+ at -155, which feels like a great leg for a same game parlay. Like other stars around the league, Booker is also almost always playing the full 12 minutes in the first. In his 4 games against the Pelicans this season, Book has 11, 11, 13, and 5 points (1Q). To get rid of the juice and complete the SGP, I’m keeping it simple and going with 1 Booker rebound in the first quarter to get us to +100. He’s gotten there every game this season against the Pelicans, including a game where he had 5 in the first. In his last 20 games, DB has recorded at least 1 board in the first 19/20 times.
Play: 1U Devin Booker 8+ points 1Q / 1+ rebound 1Q +100
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