I know that everyone is surprised that I’m playing more first quarter props, but the market really doesn’t get talked about enough. Something about first quarter cashes just hit differently, like NRFI/YRFI in baseball.
The first spot I’m targeting is Pascal Siakam, who takes on the Sixers in Philadelphia for Game 2 of the series. The Raptors have ruled Scottie Barnes out and Gary Trent Jr. is listed as doubtful, providing plenty of opportunity tonight for Siakam. In Game 1, Siakam played all 12 minutes and put up 6 points/2 rebounds./1 assist. With no Scottie Barnes and Gary Trent Jr, I think Spicy P will at least get an extra two or three and some extra rebound chances. In the 5 games without Scottie Barnes this season, Siakam has averaged 8.6 points and 2.8 rebounds in the 1Q on 62% shooting (18/29). I’m expecting Siakam to play the full 12 again and could see him getting 8+ points and 3+ boards in the 1st.
Play: 1.15U Pascal Siakam 5+ points/Siakam 2+ boards 1Q (DK)
Similar to the Siakam play, I’m looking to capitalize on another injury and go to Jalen Brunson against the Jazz tonight. Normally if the Mavs were playing, I’d look to take Luka props in the 1Q as he’s leading the league in 1Q PPG. However, he strained his calf, so the volume has to go somewhere. In Game 1, Brunson had 8 points and 1 assist in the first on 9 shots. That’s about how many shots Luka takes per game. In his last 5 games without Luka, Brunson has been the temporary leader of the Mavs, averaging 7.2 points and 2.2 assists in the 1Q. All we need from JB tonight is 5+ points and 1+ assist in the first. Seems reasonable!
Play: 1.1U Jalen Brunson 5+ points/Brunson 1+ assist 1Q -110
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