Tonight we go to Phoenix for Game 1 of the Mavericks-Suns series where I’ll be going back to my favorite market: 1st quarter same game parlays on DraftKings.
To start off, I’ll be taking advantage of Ayton’s advantageous matchup against Dwight Powell. DA is a quick starter and I’ll be looking for Chris Paul to feed him early in the paint or off pick and rolls. For my two SGPs that I have Ayton in, all I’m asking from the big man is for 4+ points in the first. Against the Pelicans, DA cleared this number every game with 6, 4, 13, 10, 8, and 10 points. With Booker coming back from injury, I think Ayton will continue to see a slight uptick in volume like he did against the Pelicans. Another leg I’m going with tonight is Ayton’s rebounds. All we need for the SGP is 10+ and DA has put up 17 and 13 boards against Dallas this season.
One thing I like to look for with same game parlays is correlation. Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton make for an elite duo and we know that CP3 is arguably the best passer in the NBA. Paul – averaging 3.2 1Q assists on the season – has cleared 2+ assists in the 1Q 5 out of 6 times against the Pelicans last series and 3 out of 3 times against the Mavericks in the regular season. I’d expect one of CP3’s first quarter assists to go to Ayton tonight.
Plays: 1.15U Ayton 4+ 1Q pts / Paul 1+ 1Q assist / Ayton 10+ reb. -115
1U Ayton 4+ 1Q pts / Paul 2+ 1Q assists +105
Like I’ve done in the past with Devin Booker, I’ll be going back to another first scorer leading scorer in Luka Doncic. Luka has been absolutely dominant in first quarters this season, averaging 9.5 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 2.6 assists in the regular season. I expect Luka to get back to his full 12 minute first quarters and I think he can easily get 5 points and 1 assist in the 1Q tonight. I’ll be pairing these two legs with Reggie Bullock 2+ threes tonight. Bullock has been a very important piece for the Mavs, seeing 40+ minutes in 5 out of 6 games against the Jazz. He hit at least 2 3s in every game in that series, and almost every shot the guy takes is a 3. He took an average of 7 a game against the Jazz and I’m not expecting him to slow down this series. It wouldn’t be too surprising either if Luka got an assist to Reggie tonight.
Play: 1.05U Luka 5+ 1Q pts / Luka 1+ 1Q assist / Bullock 2+ 3PM -105
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