I’m back again tonight with 3 plays I like for tonight’s games. We’ve run this same play in the past and I think the numbers do a good job of backing it up again.
Giannis averaged 8.0 assists in 4 games vs Boston, with 13.5 potential assists. This potential number feels low but I think it’s really more like 16-18 average because after G2, NBA.com said he had 5 potential with 7 actual assists, which makes no sense. Tatum has averaged 5.5 assists on the series with 13.0 potential assists. Last game, they both had 5 assists on 15 potential from Giannis and 13 from Tatum. I watched every Celtics and Bucks player miss every opportunity from JT and Giannis in the 1Q and I fully expect them to get us to 5 and 6 again with some better shooting tonight.
Play:
0.5U Giannis 6+ assists / Tatum 5+ assists +105 (DK)
I’m a big Tyus Jones guy. I bet his assists in some way in almost every game that Ja has been out and he’s been profitable for me in the past. Ja is out again tonight and I know that Tyus can get us 5+ assists full game. Last game, Jones had 2 1Q assists and in his L10 regular season games without Morant, he had 2+ 1Q assists in 9 out of 10 games, averaging 2.3. Jones had 5 assists in Game 4 on 12 potential and also has 5+ assists in the last 9 out of 10 regular season games without Ja, with the miss coming by one assist when he played just 23 minutes. I think that the Grizzlies need to come out hot if they want to keep the series alive and I can’t see either team shooting that poorly to start the game again.
Play:
0.65U Jones 2+ 1Q assists / Jones 5+ assists -130 (DK)
Draymond Green had 5 assists last game when the Warriors 24.3% from 3. He also had 19 potential assists and I think with the Warriors getting back to their game, he will have 8+ tonight. He had 8 and 7 assists in the L2 and 3 in G1 when he played 17 minutes. With 13.3 potential on the series, I think the number would be closer to 16 if he had played his full 30 minutes. The Warriors will do their best to close this series out and will need to hit more threes to do that.
Play:
0.62U Draymond Green O6.5 assists -124 (Bovada)
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