I plan on having 5 first quarter props on this Friday the 13th. DK has moved some of the lines around but I think I found some nice value in these 1Q SGPs.
To start off, let’s talk about Jrue Holiday. He’s really stepped up without Khris Middleton in this series and his 1Q numbers are impressive, especially at home. Jrue is averaging 2.6 1Q APG at home in the playoffs in 5 games. We don’t need a 1Q steal, but he also has 1 in 4/5 games this series. Holiday has 2+ steals in 4/5 games against Boston, with 1 last game. Jrue also has 4+ points in every home playoff game this season and we only need 2 buckets to get there. The Bucks should look to get off to a good start if they want to close out the series at home and Holiday will be a key part of that.
Play:
0.68U Holiday 4+ 1Q pts. / Holiday 1+ 1Q as. / Holiday 1+ steal -135 (DK)
Like Holiday, Tatum and Giannis have been consistent when it comes to 1Q assists. Tatum has a 1Q assist in 8/9 playoff games, including 3 last game. Giannis has an 1Q assist in 9/10 playoff games and I think they can both get us one again tonight. Jaylen Brown has also been consistent in all 1Q prop categories with 5+ points in 4/5 games this series, with 17 one game and 1+ rebound in 5/5 games. This points and 1 rebound SGP is the Devin Booker special. I’ll also be adding Holiday 1+ 1Q assist to these SGPs to reduce the juice. I think he’ll get 2+ tonight and if he doesn’t even get one it’ll be unlucky because the looks will be there and we can chalk it up to Friday the 13th.
Plays:
0.58U Giannis 1+ 1Q assist / Tatum 1+ 1Q assist / Holiday 1+ 1Q assist -115 (DK)
0.53U Brown 5+ 1Q points / Brown 1+ 1Q rebound / Holiday 1+ 1Q assist -105 (DK)
I have to run back this Tyus Jones play from the last two games. He’s one of the best backup PGs in the league and DK is still giving us a great price on this. Last game, Jones had 5 1Q assists and in his L10 regular season games without Morant, he had 2+ 1Q assists in 9 out of 10 games, averaging 2.3. All we need to go with that is 5 assists in the game from Jones, which he’s done the last two games and did in the 1Q last game. I’m shocked that this whole SGP cashed at -130 in the 1Q last game and we’re getting it at an even better price tonight. Jones will need to look to get his team going early by sharing the ball or the Warriors could get an early lead at home to close the series.
If you’ve bet Steven Adams 1Q rebounds or even full game rebounds before, you know he’s a great rebounder. He’s the kind of guy that can grab 4+ boards every quarter. His full game rebounds line is set at 10.5 or 11.5 so that checks out as well. He’s been a huge part of rebounding for Memphis these L2 games without Ja Morant and grabbed 6 1Q boards last game and 4 1Q boards in the game before that.
Plays:
0.60 Jones 2+ 1Q as. / Jones 5+ as. -120 (DK)
0.5U Jones 2+ 1Q as./Adams 2+ 1Q reb. +130 (DK)
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