Brantley 1+ hit / Daza 1+ hit -116 0.58U
Brantley has 1+ hit in 11 straight and is 6-12 vs Giolito with 2 HRs. The line should be more like -350 or -400 like it is for JD Martinez. Brantley is hitting .276 vs the 4-seam (Giolito @48.6%), .355 vs the slider (24.1%), and .314 vs the changeup (22.7%). I really like this Daza angle. He’s batting .449 vs lefties, is 2-2 against Gore, and is averaging 1.8 hits in the L10. Gore throws the 4-seam 63.6% of the time (next is curveball at 17.4%) and Daza is hitting .476 against the 4-seam.
Lineup: 2. Brantley, 5. Daza (projected)
Pham 1+ hit / Correa 1+ hit -104 0.52U
Pham is 4-7 vs Lauer and has 1+ in 6 straight games. His best pitch to hit is the 4-seam at .319 which is Lauer’s main pitch at 40.5%. Pham’s also hitting a little angrily which I like after the Giants wore those fantasy football warmup shirts to troll him. Correa is hitting .333 vs lefties, is 2-7 with a HR vs Bumgarner since 2020 (not including 0-4 against SF Bumgarner in 2015), has 1+ in 7 straight, 1+ in his last 9/10 and 1.8 per game in the last 5. Hitters are having the most success this season against Bumgarner’s cutter (.270, 42.8%) and 4-seam (.321, 28.1%) and Correa is hitting .385 against the cutter and .365 against the 4-seam this season.
Lineup: 3. Pham, 2. Correa
Judge 1+ hit / Guerrero Jr. 1+ hit -120 1.2U
Judge is 3-8 vs Stripling and hasn’t gone more than one game without a hit all season and he didn’t get one last game (15/15 after O-fer). Judge’s 3 best pitches to hit are the 4-seam at .387, the curveball at .357, and the slider at .333. Stripling throws the 4-seam at 33.6%, the slider at 22.5%, and the curveball at 11.3% for a total of 66.4%. Vladdy has 1+ in 7 straight – averaging 2.2 hits in the last 5. He’s got 5 straight with a hit against the Yankees, is 3-9 against Montgomery with a HR, and is hitting .344 vs lefties this season.
Lineup: 1. Judge, 3. Guerrero Jr.
Ohtani 1+ hit / Crawford 1+ hit +135 0.5U
Ohtani has 1+ hit in 11 straight and is averaging 1.8 hits in the last 5. Crawford is mashing against righties at .346 on the season and has a hit in 17/20 games (BA .305) against the Angels in his career. Crawford is also batting .333 vs the sinker (Lorenzen at 29.6%) and .345 vs the 4-seam (21.3%) – Lorenzen’s 2 main pitches.
Lineup: 3. Ohtani (projected), 1. Crawford (projected)
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