Steph Curry Sunday!

Tonight I’m going to keep it similar to Game 2 of the Mavs Warriors where we swept the 1Q and the full game 1-2-3 SGP.

Steph Curry and Draymond have both been hitting their 1Q numbers easily including 7 straight playoff games with 1+ 1Q rebound for Curry and 8 straight with 1+ 1Q assist. Draymond has 1+ 1Q rebound in 8 straight and 1+ 1Q assist in 6 of his last 8 playoff games. Curry will also see the full 12 minutes again tonight and has been rebounding the ball well recently with 4+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5. Like a Jimmy Butler steal, Andrew Wiggins has 1+ three in every playoff game this season, including 3+ threes in his last 3 games.

Plays:

0.65U Curry 1+ 1Q reb. / Curry 1+ 1Q ast. / Green 1+ 1Q reb. / Green 1+ 1Q ast. -130 (DK)

0.6U Curry 1+ 1Q reb. / Curry 1+ 1Q ast. / Wiggins 1+ three / Curry 4+ reb. -120 (DK)

We also get another chance to target the 1Q prop MVP this season in Luka Doncic. In his last 9 games when he’s played the full 12, Doncic has 9+ points in 7/9 with the misses coming at 7 and 8 1Q points. Luka also has 3+ 1Q rebounds in 5 straight playoff games and 3+ in 8 of his last 9 to go with 2+ 1Q assists in 8 of his last 9 playoff games. Luka is also taking around 10 threes a game and has 3+ threes in 7/11 playoff games. Reggie Bullock has also been very consistent from downtown, with 2+ threes made in 13/15 playoff games and should see enough volume to get us there tonight.

Plays:

0.68U Doncic 2+ 1Q ast. / Doncic 2+ 1Q reb. / Curry 1+ 1Q reb. -135 (DK)

0.53U Doncic 9+ 1Q pts. / Doncic 3+ 1Q reb. -105 (DK)

0.58U Wiggins 1+ three / Bullock 2+ threes / Doncic 3+ threes -115 (DK)

Two Game 7s: A National Holiday

Today is going to be a great day for basketball. DraftKings finally correctly adjusted 90% of the 1st quarter lines but you already know we found some nice spots to run back for this final 1Q showdown between Luka and Booker.

In Game 6, Jrue Holiday only had 3 1Q points, but in every other playoff game he’s had 4+ 1Q points. We’re only asking for two buckets. He also has 1+ 1Q assist every game this series and 2+ steals in 5/6 games this series.

Plays:

0.63U Holiday 4+ 1Q pts / Holiday 1+ 1Q ast / Holiday 1+ stl -125 (DK)

0.5U Holiday 1+ 1Q ast / Holiday 2+ stl +100 (DK)

I’ll also be running back the Giannis/Tatum/Holiday 1Q assist combo from the last few games that I ran in the past with Smart instead of Holiday. Tatum has 1+ 1Q assist in 9/10 playoff games while Giannis has 1+ 1Q assist in 9/11 playoff games.

Play:

0.58U Holiday 1+ 1Q ast / Giannis 1+ 1Q ast / Tatum 1+ 1Q ast -115 (DK)

DraftKings really did a number on these 1Q lines, especially for Booker. But it could be our last chance to bet Luka or Booker in the 1Q this season, so I got to. Luka was 1st in 1Q scoring in the regular season while Booker was 2nd. Both have been seeing the full 12 minutes and plenty of volume to get us to 8 and 9 points. Booker is averaging 10.0 1Q PPG this series while Luka is averaging 11.0 PPG this series. Luka also had 2+ 1Q rebounds and 2+ 1Q assists every game this series and I think he’ll do it again tonight with the series on the line.

I think that the Suns will step up at home on both sides of the floor. Ayton scoring early and throughout the game will be a key part of that. Mikal Bridges has been an important piece on this Suns team, seeing 30+ minutes every game this series and recording a steal in 5/6 games.

Plays:

0.7U Doncic 2+ 1Q ast / Doncic 2+ 1Q reb. / Finney-Smith 1+ three -140 (DK)

0.6U Booker 8+ 1Q pts / Doncic 9+ 1Q pts -120 (DK)

0.58U Ayton 4+ 1Q pts / Bridges 1+ stl -115 (DK)

First Quarter Friday!

I plan on having 5 first quarter props on this Friday the 13th. DK has moved some of the lines around but I think I found some nice value in these 1Q SGPs.

To start off, let’s talk about Jrue Holiday. He’s really stepped up without Khris Middleton in this series and his 1Q numbers are impressive, especially at home. Jrue is averaging 2.6 1Q APG at home in the playoffs in 5 games. We don’t need a 1Q steal, but he also has 1 in 4/5 games this series. Holiday has 2+ steals in 4/5 games against Boston, with 1 last game. Jrue also has 4+ points in every home playoff game this season and we only need 2 buckets to get there. The Bucks should look to get off to a good start if they want to close out the series at home and Holiday will be a key part of that.

Play:

0.68U Holiday 4+ 1Q pts. / Holiday 1+ 1Q as. / Holiday 1+ steal -135 (DK)

Like Holiday, Tatum and Giannis have been consistent when it comes to 1Q assists. Tatum has a 1Q assist in 8/9 playoff games, including 3 last game. Giannis has an 1Q assist in 9/10 playoff games and I think they can both get us one again tonight. Jaylen Brown has also been consistent in all 1Q prop categories with 5+ points in 4/5 games this series, with 17 one game and 1+ rebound in 5/5 games. This points and 1 rebound SGP is the Devin Booker special. I’ll also be adding Holiday 1+ 1Q assist to these SGPs to reduce the juice. I think he’ll get 2+ tonight and if he doesn’t even get one it’ll be unlucky because the looks will be there and we can chalk it up to Friday the 13th.

Plays:

0.58U Giannis 1+ 1Q assist / Tatum 1+ 1Q assist / Holiday 1+ 1Q assist -115 (DK)

0.53U Brown 5+ 1Q points / Brown 1+ 1Q rebound / Holiday 1+ 1Q assist -105 (DK)

I have to run back this Tyus Jones play from the last two games. He’s one of the best backup PGs in the league and DK is still giving us a great price on this. Last game, Jones had 5 1Q assists and in his L10 regular season games without Morant, he had 2+ 1Q assists in 9 out of 10 games, averaging 2.3. All we need to go with that is 5 assists in the game from Jones, which he’s done the last two games and did in the 1Q last game. I’m shocked that this whole SGP cashed at -130 in the 1Q last game and we’re getting it at an even better price tonight. Jones will need to look to get his team going early by sharing the ball or the Warriors could get an early lead at home to close the series.

If you’ve bet Steven Adams 1Q rebounds or even full game rebounds before, you know he’s a great rebounder. He’s the kind of guy that can grab 4+ boards every quarter. His full game rebounds line is set at 10.5 or 11.5 so that checks out as well. He’s been a huge part of rebounding for Memphis these L2 games without Ja Morant and grabbed 6 1Q boards last game and 4 1Q boards in the game before that.

Plays:

0.60 Jones 2+ 1Q as. / Jones 5+ as. -120 (DK)

0.5U Jones 2+ 1Q as./Adams 2+ 1Q reb. +130 (DK)