Tag Archives: props

Tonight we go to Phoenix for Game 1 of the Mavericks-Suns series where I’ll be going back to my favorite market: 1st quarter same game parlays on DraftKings.

To start off, I’ll be taking advantage of Ayton’s advantageous matchup against Dwight Powell. DA is a quick starter and I’ll be looking for Chris Paul to feed him early in the paint or off pick and rolls. For my two SGPs that I have Ayton in, all I’m asking from the big man is for 4+ points in the first. Against the Pelicans, DA cleared this number every game with 6, 4, 13, 10, 8, and 10 points. With Booker coming back from injury, I think Ayton will continue to see a slight uptick in volume like he did against the Pelicans. Another leg I’m going with tonight is Ayton’s rebounds. All we need for the SGP is 10+ and DA has put up 17 and 13 boards against Dallas this season.

One thing I like to look for with same game parlays is correlation. Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton make for an elite duo and we know that CP3 is arguably the best passer in the NBA. Paul – averaging 3.2 1Q assists on the season – has cleared 2+ assists in the 1Q 5 out of 6 times against the Pelicans last series and 3 out of 3 times against the Mavericks in the regular season. I’d expect one of CP3’s first quarter assists to go to Ayton tonight.

Plays: 1.15U Ayton 4+ 1Q pts / Paul 1+ 1Q assist / Ayton 10+ reb. -115

1U Ayton 4+ 1Q pts / Paul 2+ 1Q assists +105

Like I’ve done in the past with Devin Booker, I’ll be going back to another first scorer leading scorer in Luka Doncic. Luka has been absolutely dominant in first quarters this season, averaging 9.5 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 2.6 assists in the regular season. I expect Luka to get back to his full 12 minute first quarters and I think he can easily get 5 points and 1 assist in the 1Q tonight. I’ll be pairing these two legs with Reggie Bullock 2+ threes tonight. Bullock has been a very important piece for the Mavs, seeing 40+ minutes in 5 out of 6 games against the Jazz. He hit at least 2 3s in every game in that series, and almost every shot the guy takes is a 3. He took an average of 7 a game against the Jazz and I’m not expecting him to slow down this series. It wouldn’t be too surprising either if Luka got an assist to Reggie tonight.

Play: 1.05U Luka 5+ 1Q pts / Luka 1+ 1Q assist / Bullock 2+ 3PM -105

DraftKings is letting us utilize this market again and I’m targeting 3 players in tonight’s Celtics at Nets matchup.

Marcus Smart has been a player I’ve gone to almost all season for first quarter props. The DPOY is a 1st quarter prop star, averaging 2.0 assists in the first quarter this season. In both games against the Nets, Smart recorded 2 assists in both first quarters. The last time he didn’t have a first quarter assist was 19 games ago in February and he dropped 5 1Q against the Nets earlier this year. All we’re asking from the guy is for 1 tonight.

Usually I’m not looking to target assists when playing Jayson Tatum props, but he has been passing the ball well this series (and this season). In his first two series games, Tatum has put up 3 and 4 assists in the 1st quarter! 1+ assist opened at -320, which seems very reasonable. I was building a longshot with these plays earlier and they pulled Tatum 3+ assists +425 which I think is a good sign for our 1+ assist leg.

The last leg for the SGPs I’m building tonight is Kevin Durant’s first quarter rebounds. KD averaged 2.2 rebounds/1Q and has been consistently putting up 2+ boards every single playoff game, going all the way back to 2019. He picked up 2 and 3 in the first two series games and I’d be surprised if he doesn’t do it again in 12 minutes. He also averaged 2.1 assists in the 1Q this season, recording 1 and 3 against Boston. I trust the Slim Reaper to get us 2 and 1 in the 1Q.

Plays:

0.55U Tatum 1+ as./Smart 1 as./KD 1 as. -110 (1Q)

0.60U Smart 1+ as./KD 2+ reb. -120 (1Q)

0.53U Tatum 1+ as./KD 2+ reb. -105 (1Q)

All lines available on DraftKings Sportsbook